Treasurist Fund Port Pro: Investment Plan for the Week of February 23-27, 69.

Blue group (help indicators)
- The US Supreme Court ruled that Trump's trade tariffs were illegal. Although Trump remains unrepentant and is attempting to compensate with alternative tariffs, financial markets have already reacted positively.
- The USD Index edged up to almost 98, but the THB/USD weakened slightly, falling below 31.
- Treasurer continues to recommend hedging against exchange rate risk, a recommendation that has been in place since December 8, 68, when THB/USD was at approximately 81.
Green medium-term trend group (can buy, can continue to hold)
- Gold continued its upward trend for the seventh consecutive month, closing Friday above $5,100 USD/Oz once again. However, the strengthening Thai baht means hedging through mutual funds is still necessary.
- Thai stocks edged back slightly on Friday, but the overall trend remains positive for six consecutive weeks. They make a good investment option, with the recommended allocation.
- European and South Korean stocks ended the week at new all-time highs, making them suitable investments as long-awaited by treasurers. Japanese stocks also remain in an uptrend and are trading near their all-time highs.
- US stocks are recovering well and are just 1% away from surpassing their all-time high reached at the end of January 69. Continue to hold your investment.
- Stocks related to precious metals and medical science remain worthwhile investments, helping to enhance the potential of a portfolio.
Red medium-term trend group (wait and see)
- Tech stocks (as measured by NASDAQ), while showing some recovery, had previously closed lower for several weeks and had fallen considerably from their all-time highs. Therefore, we recommended shifting investments to other, more promising sectors, using our suggested allocations.
- Indian, Chinese, and Hong Kong stocks, which have a high weighting in the portfolio if the investment opportunity arises, along with blockchain stocks as a portfolio complement, all remain in a downtrend in the medium term. It's a wait-and-see approach before investing.



How to view this information to understand and make full use of it
- ดู "summarize" "list” to get immediate information on which items have an uptrend in the medium term. which is within the range of investment and see “Trend Cycle Sequence” To understand the change in trends from the short term to the medium term. and understand the details of recommendations in various trend states.. The color of each box is based on the asset type. Stock = blue Commodity = gold REIT (alternative assets) = green
- watch "Interesting examples of funds.” To study the prospectus/Fund Fact Sheet adequately before making an actual investment decision. All of them are funds that can actually be purchased with Treasury Securities.com or you can choose to invest in other funds in the same group as you like.
- ดู “Early week at the start of the medium-term trend.” To see the beginning of a trend You should pay special attention when the medium-term trend has just changed direction (Reversal) from green to red - from red to green because it means that investors should quickly consider buying/selling from the beginning of the trend.
- How much should each item be invested in relative to the money you have?
- The overall picture is based on the allocation of investment proportions by asset type (Asset Allocation) according to the results of the most recent Suitability Test that each person has done himself. For example, if it is an investor who can accept the highest risk. You can have stock funds totaling up to 70% of your overall portfolio. But if you can accept the lowest risk. The proportion of stock funds should not exceed 10% .. and if this table does not yet recommend any type of fund. You can invest in fund types with a lower risk level for the time being. For example, if you haven't recommended any stock funds yet, you can use stock fund proportion quotas. You can invest more in bond funds. This is considered to reduce the risk of the investment portfolio in a situation where stocks are not bright.
- In the case of the same type of asset, it is recommended to invest in several items at the same time. The approximate proportions can be divided according to the market size (Market Capitalization) of that item. For example, because the Japanese stock market is many times larger than the Vietnam stock market, it may be possible to allocate a higher proportion to a Japanese stock fund than a Vietnam stock fund.
- If the medium-term trend is orange This means that the trend has a high chance of changing. But still need to wait for confirmation >> In case there is a Temp Up signal (high chance of changing from red to green) if you focus on speed. You can start buying in the proportion of 50% of yourself (read together with Section 4.2). But if you focus on certainty. Still waiting to see. Until it becomes green, then start buying.
>> In the case of a Temp Down signal (there is a high chance of changing from green to red) if you focus on speed You can sell the quantity down to 50% of yourself (read along with Section 4.2), but if you emphasize certainty, you will still hold the full 100% as before. Until it turns red then sell it all.
- It is interesting to observe the dependent and inverse relationship between different types of assets. For example, when the USD Bond Yield moves up, it will be seen that the USD Index will move up accordingly. and stocks dropped
Principles and additional explanations
- Social and economic numerical format (Socioeconomics) that is a time series, such as the population of a country going back many years. Sales of an industry over several quarters. usually does not change randomly But it's a trend. (It usually goes up. When it goes down, it often continues to go down) .. Time series format of various security prices going back several days - weeks - months. that is the result of causal factors Socioeconomics Therefore there is a trend as well.. So mathematical calculations can be used to help evaluate the continuation of the trend, that is, is it still up now? Is it still going down now? Is it still going down now? And the important thing is When is reversal occurring? It is a change from down to up - up to down.
- Medium-term outlook >> Look at the picture over several weeks to several months. It is a time frame that gives signals later than the short-term trend. But it's often more accurate. (Up then up, down then down) by using the MACD tool in 2-Week/Weekly Timeframe to help analyze.. which is the medium-term trend. There is no need to change frequently. It can take months or even years as well. It depends on the context of each time period.
- Short-term trend >> Multi-day to multi-week timeframe is a faster signaling timeframe than the medium-term trend, but it can change frequently. It uses the MACD tool in the Week/Weekly Timeframe to help analyze.
- For Treasurist Fund Port Tax, choose long-term trend >> Use MACD tool in Monthly Timeframe to help analyze.
- This data can help show current trends all the way to the short-term future based on the "inertia" of trends, but it cannot tell what the next 2 or 6 months will look like. When the situation in front of you changes I have to adapt quickly.
- Investment decisions/delaying investments according to the trend of Treasurist Fund Traffic Control. If analyzed retrospectively (hindsight analysis), it will not be possible to win against the buy-and-hold model. (buy-and-hold) can be done .. but in the real world, investing is "looking forward" and "adjusting according to the situation" .. a clear example is If in the future there is a world war or a major epidemic. The overall investment trend is definitely downtrend. We still don't see the future (for example, at the beginning of 2563, the world still doesn't have a COVID-19 vaccine. And no one knows when that crisis will subside. But when looking back Everything was clear. Because it happened and it's over), using advice from Treasurist Fund Traffic Control should help investors avoid severe losses in a timely manner. And it will help you know the timing for returning to invest in the next phase as well.
- Interesting funds It is based on the main stock index of that item, such as the Japanese stock list. Will consider the NIKKEI 225 index to see what the trend status is. Then select interesting Japanese stock funds to present. Tech stocks will also consider the NASDAQ Index to see what the trend status is. Then select interesting tech stock funds to present. However, if the medium-term trend is still not conducive to investing Still don't recommend any interesting funds.
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